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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+8.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+5.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+4.53vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+6.88vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18+0.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+2.27vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.40+2.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+4.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.67vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.35-0.95vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.29-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42+0.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.93vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.15-7.52vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.22-5.64vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.28-6.42vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.56-7.07vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.71-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5College of Charleston2.384.5%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.759.3%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.918.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University1.963.4%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University3.1812.5%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University2.686.9%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.405.2%1st Place
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12.44Bowdoin College2.032.2%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.5%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University2.354.9%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.294.9%1st Place
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12.47University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
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12.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.2%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University3.1510.7%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.284.5%1st Place
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9.93Boston College2.564.8%1st Place
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11.86University of Pennsylvania1.712.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 17.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.8% |
| Maks Groom | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.