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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+2.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+2.18vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+0.74vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19-0.86vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+4.78vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.22+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+2.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.50+1.27vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.90vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.64-1.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.89-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.42-0.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-1.10vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy-0.14-0.94vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.40vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.36-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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4.18Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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3.74Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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3.14Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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9.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.11Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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8.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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9.93California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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12.06University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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15.06California Poly Maritime Academy-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 19.2% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 17.0% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 24.9% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| William Edwards | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Travis Benton | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ray Carley | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Michael Midgley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 24.8% |
| Macy Stout | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.