← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.05+2.50vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University2.22+6.21vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.72+1.16vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.90-0.33vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University4.19-1.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.64+0.80vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay1.64+2.82vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley2.12+0.28vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.86vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.89vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.89+1.27vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-1.15vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles1.50-2.85vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis0.42-0.66vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-1.10vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-1.45vs Predicted
-
17California Poly Maritime Academy-0.14-1.93vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-0.36-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.5Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
-
8.21Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
-
4.16Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
3.67Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
-
3.13Stanford University4.190.3%1st Place
-
6.8University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
9.82California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.28University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.11California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
12.27University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
-
10.85University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
-
10.15University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
-
13.34University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
13.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
-
14.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
-
15.07California Poly Maritime Academy-0.140.0%1st Place
-
15.34University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 17.9% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 18.0% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 25.5% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Travis Benton | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray Carley | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| William Edwards | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| Michael Midgley | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 26.2% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.