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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+11.20vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.35+7.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+2.94vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+6.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+4.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91+0.27vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68+0.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+3.29vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.71+1.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.72vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-1.35vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.29-4.61vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-7.87vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.40-5.20vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.40-8.06vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.15-12.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.2University of Rhode Island1.612.3%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University2.354.7%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University3.1811.5%1st Place
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10.83Cornell University1.963.6%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston2.385.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.919.2%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.687.2%1st Place
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12.29Bowdoin College2.032.4%1st Place
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11.67University of Pennsylvania1.713.0%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.284.9%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University1.673.0%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.295.1%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.758.3%1st Place
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10.8Boston College2.403.1%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.405.7%1st Place
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5.97Stanford University3.1512.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.4% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| John Eastman | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.