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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+2.58vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.12+5.76vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+0.15vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+3.84vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.22+0.19vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.64+1.12vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.68vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy-0.14+4.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.89+0.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.42+0.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.50-3.65vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.50-5.43vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.19vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.36-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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3.28Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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4.15Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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3.76Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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8.19Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.12California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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8.32California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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15.29California Poly Maritime Academy-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.500.0%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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14.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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15.51University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 18.9% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 20.3% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 15.3% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Midgley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 30.6% |
| Ray Carley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 3.2% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% |
| Michael Radziejowski | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Erik Lund | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| William Edwards | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Macy Stout | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 19.5% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.