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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+4.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+4.99vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61+7.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.19vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38+0.98vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.29+0.31vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.15-4.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.91-3.79vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.39-2.89vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-1.25vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.35-4.99vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-2.83vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.71-4.45vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.40-6.51vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.96-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Harvard University3.1813.7%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University2.687.0%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.406.7%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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11.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.2%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy2.284.5%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston2.385.2%1st Place
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9.31Yale University2.294.5%1st Place
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5.99Stanford University3.1512.2%1st Place
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7.21Brown University2.918.5%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College2.394.2%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University1.673.7%1st Place
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9.01Tulane University2.355.9%1st Place
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12.17Bowdoin College2.032.2%1st Place
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11.55University of Pennsylvania1.712.4%1st Place
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10.49Boston College2.404.1%1st Place
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10.51Cornell University1.964.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 16.4% |
| Maks Groom | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| John Eastman | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 15.7% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.