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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+2.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+2.26vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+0.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+1.93vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+2.17vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.22+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.50+2.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+1.84vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.31vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.64-0.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.50-2.57vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07+0.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42-1.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.89-3.49vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy-0.14-1.64vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.36-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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4.26Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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3.7Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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6.93University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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8.17California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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8.22Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.51University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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10.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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10.22California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.500.0%1st Place
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14.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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13.84University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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15.36California Poly Maritime Academy-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.52University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 18.9% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 21.7% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 20.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Erik Lund | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Travis Benton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Radziejowski | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
| Ray Carley | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Michael Midgley | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 29.8% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.