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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.27vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.04+1.42vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+1.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.02+1.58vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.89vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.65-3.01vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.41+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.08-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.69-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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3.42Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.82California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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3.99Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.65California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 39.0% | 24.7% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 17.5% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 7.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 9.6% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| John Ortel | 13.9% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 25.2% |
| Aubrey Toole | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 20.2% | 45.6% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.