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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+4.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+5.98vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+3.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+5.10vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.35+4.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91+1.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38+1.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.39-0.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03+2.10vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.66vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-2.75vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.29-3.61vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-2.68vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.22-6.68vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.96-6.16vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.40-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Harvard University3.1812.3%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University2.687.3%1st Place
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6.07Stanford University3.1511.8%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.285.7%1st Place
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9.1Tulane University2.355.9%1st Place
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7.4Brown University2.918.5%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.0%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston2.385.7%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College2.396.2%1st Place
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12.1Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
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12.66University of Pennsylvania1.582.1%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.404.7%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.293.7%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.5%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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10.84Cornell University1.963.8%1st Place
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10.42Boston College2.403.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.