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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.04+1.36vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.02+2.58vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+0.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.65-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.69-1.01vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.08vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.41-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.08-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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3.36Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.79California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.13Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.69California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 38.6% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 17.2% | 21.2% | 21.3% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Lamb | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| John Ortel | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 7.9% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 13.4% |
| Charles Shane | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 23.4% | 26.4% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.