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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+6.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+3.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.39+6.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+5.03vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+7.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+3.12vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.15-0.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.49vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-1.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61+1.28vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-1.55vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.35-3.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.50vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.29-5.77vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.22-6.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.79-5.54vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.58-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Brown University2.918.8%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University3.1812.3%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.395.2%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.405.5%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College2.032.8%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston2.385.4%1st Place
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6.02Stanford University3.1511.7%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.6%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University2.687.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Naval Academy2.285.5%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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10.45Boston College2.404.0%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University2.355.5%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.2%1st Place
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9.23Yale University2.294.5%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
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11.46Cornell University1.793.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Pennsylvania1.582.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 15.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 17.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Maks Groom | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.