Race 3A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Andrew 11.9% 13.6% 13.5% 13.6% 13.1% 10.7% 11.6% 7.7% 3.0% 1.3%
Alex Takata 24.8% 20.9% 17.5% 13.7% 10.3% 7.0% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Billy Hines 10.1% 10.5% 11.2% 10.7% 13.7% 15.8% 11.0% 9.9% 6.0% 1.1%
Christopher Poole 15.2% 17.4% 15.1% 15.2% 13.9% 9.5% 7.7% 3.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Michael Reney 9.6% 8.1% 10.0% 12.7% 10.8% 14.7% 12.8% 12.1% 7.0% 2.2%
Conor Lodge 17.9% 16.5% 15.2% 13.7% 13.6% 10.1% 7.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Sam Wyer 2.7% 3.7% 5.8% 5.6% 7.5% 10.5% 13.8% 17.2% 19.5% 13.7%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.1% 4.7% 5.9% 7.3% 8.4% 9.6% 12.5% 18.8% 17.3% 11.4%
Stephanie Dowling 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 4.2% 5.4% 6.8% 10.9% 15.0% 24.0% 25.1%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 5.3% 8.1% 10.6% 19.3% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.