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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.65+3.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+0.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.04+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.69+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.08vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36-0.76vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-0.82vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.02-4.06vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.41-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.08-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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2.48Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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3.72Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.87University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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5.24Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.12California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.69California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ortel | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 33.8% | 28.8% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 17.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 7.3% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Shane | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 26.4% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.