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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+7.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+7.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+5.36vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.35+4.37vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+6.20vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+5.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-0.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-2.72vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-2.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.18vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.18-8.13vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.96-4.17vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.38-6.96vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-7.64vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.29-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Stanford University3.1511.3%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.285.4%1st Place
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10.6Boston College2.403.5%1st Place
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9.36Georgetown University2.405.1%1st Place
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9.37Tulane University2.355.5%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College2.032.5%1st Place
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12.51University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.757.4%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.5%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.918.9%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.686.6%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.8%1st Place
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12.82University of Pennsylvania1.581.6%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University3.1812.0%1st Place
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10.83Cornell University1.963.6%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston2.386.2%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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9.18Yale University2.295.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 15.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.