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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+7.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.52vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+3.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+4.23vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-0.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91+0.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68+0.21vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40+1.69vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.96+0.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.68vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-3.68vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.29-4.63vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-2.73vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.40-6.76vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-4.62vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.35-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Stanford University3.1511.6%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.285.5%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.5%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.758.4%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston2.385.1%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University3.1812.3%1st Place
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7.39Brown University2.918.6%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.686.9%1st Place
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10.69Boston College2.403.9%1st Place
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10.91Cornell University1.963.8%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.2%1st Place
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12.68University of Pennsylvania1.581.9%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.225.4%1st Place
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9.37Yale University2.294.6%1st Place
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12.27University of Rhode Island1.422.1%1st Place
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9.24Georgetown University2.404.9%1st Place
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12.38Bowdoin College2.032.4%1st Place
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9.28Tulane University2.355.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 15.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.