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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.65+3.61vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.36+3.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80-0.54vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.02+2.01vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.04-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.69+0.81vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.34vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.08-0.50vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.41-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.24Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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2.46Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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3.77Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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5.13California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.64California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ortel | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Hans Henken | 36.4% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Dahl | 16.0% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Lamb | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Aubrey Toole | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 11.4% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 8.4% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 49.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 26.2% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.