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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Dahl 16.8% 19.7% 18.8% 17.7% 12.1% 7.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Hans Henken 39.8% 26.3% 16.2% 10.4% 4.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kohrman 6.3% 7.5% 9.3% 11.0% 13.3% 13.7% 13.9% 12.2% 7.8% 4.2% 0.8%
John Ortel 10.5% 14.3% 16.1% 15.3% 16.0% 11.3% 8.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Daniel Kivlovitz 5.4% 6.0% 8.4% 8.4% 11.0% 11.6% 13.1% 14.5% 11.8% 7.9% 1.9%
Andrew Lamb 9.5% 11.5% 13.3% 14.2% 14.6% 12.3% 11.1% 6.8% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Shaun Prestridge 2.9% 4.7% 3.0% 5.1% 8.2% 9.9% 12.0% 14.3% 17.1% 15.5% 7.3%
Aubrey Toole 4.9% 4.3% 7.5% 8.6% 9.9% 13.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.6% 7.9% 2.2%
Alex Verdoia 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.6% 4.3% 8.3% 9.5% 14.5% 17.0% 19.2% 14.7%
Karisa Chapa 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 6.8% 10.9% 17.3% 49.3%
Charles Shane 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 8.7% 10.8% 14.6% 24.9% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.