← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.04+2.45vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.80+0.23vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.02+2.58vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.65+0.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.69+1.15vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.29vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+0.30vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.67vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.05vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.08-0.52vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.41-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
-
2.23Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
-
5.58Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
-
4.24Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.15University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.71California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.33University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
9.48University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.6California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 16.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 39.8% | 26.3% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| John Ortel | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Lamb | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 7.3% |
| Aubrey Toole | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 14.7% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 49.3% |
| Charles Shane | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.