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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+10.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+4.55vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+2.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+3.40vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.96+4.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.40+2.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56+1.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.81vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-0.61vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.18-5.05vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42+0.32vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.29-3.31vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.35-4.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.18vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.22-6.45vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.25vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.16-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Dartmouth College2.758.7%1st Place
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12.31Bowdoin College2.032.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University2.917.8%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University3.1512.3%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.687.1%1st Place
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10.93Cornell University1.963.2%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.404.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston College2.564.5%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.8%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.385.2%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University3.1811.7%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island1.422.4%1st Place
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9.69Yale University2.294.9%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University2.355.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy2.043.8%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University2.224.6%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.9%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania2.164.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 16.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Maks Groom | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 17.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.