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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.25vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.04+1.38vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.65+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.69+2.35vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.02+0.41vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.29vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.07vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.41-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.08-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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3.38Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.27Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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5.41Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.71California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.65California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 38.2% | 26.2% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 18.7% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Ortel | 11.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Max Kohrman | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Lamb | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 7.9% |
| Aubrey Toole | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 14.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 25.6% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.