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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.77+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina1.40+4.36vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee0.80+4.19vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24-2.34vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29+3.68vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.27-0.18vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.89-4.80vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.63-2.26vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.21-0.98vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.70-0.57vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.35-2.44vs Predicted
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15University of Florida0.34-5.50vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.45-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of South Florida2.770.2%1st Place
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6.36University of North Carolina1.400.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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2.66Eckerd College3.240.3%1st Place
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9.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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6.82Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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3.2Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
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8.81Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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8.74Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.02Duke University-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.43North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.56The Citadel-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Florida0.340.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan White | 20.6% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mellnik | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ervin Grove | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 29.2% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Ian Nora | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tony Collins | 21.8% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Everson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Eduardo Leal | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| Dustin Simons | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 31.5% |
| Ben Brightwell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| Rheanna King | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.