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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+7.30vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+8.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+8.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+2.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91+1.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+2.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.96+2.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.71+1.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61+1.40vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-1.20vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.38-3.61vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.18-8.05vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.29-5.59vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.40-6.60vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.68-8.86vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.35-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Stanford University3.1511.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.285.5%1st Place
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11.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
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12.31Bowdoin College2.032.8%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.758.2%1st Place
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7.68Brown University2.916.8%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.225.0%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University1.964.2%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.5%1st Place
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11.62University of Pennsylvania1.713.2%1st Place
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12.4University of Rhode Island1.612.4%1st Place
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10.8Boston College2.404.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.385.0%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University3.1812.7%1st Place
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9.41Yale University2.295.0%1st Place
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9.4Georgetown University2.404.8%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.687.3%1st Place
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9.11Tulane University2.355.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 18.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.