← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.68+7.25vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.38+7.21vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.03+9.23vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.29+5.36vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.40+4.30vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.35vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.22+2.37vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.75-0.71vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.15-2.91vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.91-2.50vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.71+0.75vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.35-2.66vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.61-1.64vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.22vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.18-10.27vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.96-6.20vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.40-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25Roger Williams University2.686.6%1st Place
-
9.21College of Charleston2.385.1%1st Place
-
12.23Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
-
9.36Yale University2.294.5%1st Place
-
9.3Georgetown University2.405.1%1st Place
-
10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.5%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University2.225.3%1st Place
-
7.29Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
-
6.09Stanford University3.1512.4%1st Place
-
7.5Brown University2.917.4%1st Place
-
11.75University of Pennsylvania1.712.8%1st Place
-
9.34Tulane University2.355.9%1st Place
-
9.29U. S. Naval Academy2.285.1%1st Place
-
12.36University of Rhode Island1.612.3%1st Place
-
11.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
-
5.73Harvard University3.1812.8%1st Place
-
10.8Cornell University1.963.5%1st Place
-
11.0Boston College2.403.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Miles Williams | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 16.8% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.