Race 1A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 21.2% 18.5% 14.3% 13.2% 10.4% 7.7% 5.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Brendan Smucker 10.1% 9.7% 10.3% 10.1% 10.7% 8.8% 9.7% 8.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% 3.0% 0.8%
Luke Justin 5.9% 6.9% 7.4% 7.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 8.8% 8.7% 9.3% 7.8% 7.0% 5.1%
Kenneth Buck 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.6% 7.0% 9.4% 9.8% 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 8.8%
Zechariah Frantz 3.2% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.3% 5.1% 5.6% 6.6% 9.8% 11.1% 13.8% 24.2%
Josh Becher 9.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.7% 8.6% 9.5% 9.8% 9.2% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9% 3.9% 1.6%
Benjamin Usher 13.2% 13.5% 14.0% 11.6% 11.3% 8.0% 9.2% 7.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Jackson McGeough 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 4.6% 5.4% 5.8% 6.8% 7.6% 9.7% 9.4% 12.2% 13.0% 14.4%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 10.1% 8.8% 8.9% 10.2% 7.6% 7.2% 4.7% 2.9%
Hilton Kamps 9.7% 9.7% 9.2% 9.7% 10.5% 9.4% 9.6% 8.1% 7.8% 5.5% 6.5% 2.9% 1.7%
James Ozaki 4.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.8% 4.6% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 8.7% 10.3% 12.3% 12.0% 11.3%
Charlie Eckert 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 4.7% 5.0% 5.3% 5.9% 8.2% 7.4% 9.8% 10.5% 15.2% 16.5%
Lily Schwartz 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 11.0% 10.0% 13.4% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.