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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+1.60vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.77+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29+5.62vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina1.40+0.50vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.27-0.24vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.63+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee0.80-0.85vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.21+1.09vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.56-2.13vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.35-0.34vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.70-2.60vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.45-4.37vs Predicted
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17University of Florida0.34-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Eckerd College3.240.3%1st Place
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3.07Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
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3.37University of South Florida2.770.2%1st Place
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9.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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6.5University of North Carolina1.400.0%1st Place
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6.76Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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8.68Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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11.09Duke University-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.87Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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11.66The Citadel-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.4North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Florida0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 32.2% | 24.8% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 23.1% | 23.3% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 18.2% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Mellnik | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Ervin Grove | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Eduardo Leal | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.7% |
| Lily Everson | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Ben Brightwell | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 32.3% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| Rheanna King | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.