Race 2A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 22.2% 17.5% 15.6% 11.8% 10.8% 6.9% 6.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Benjamin Usher 14.1% 11.8% 14.4% 11.8% 11.0% 10.0% 8.2% 6.6% 4.9% 3.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Brendan Smucker 9.0% 10.5% 10.7% 9.8% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1%
Luke Justin 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 8.1% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7% 10.1% 9.0% 9.6% 8.6% 6.7% 4.2%
Josh Becher 8.3% 9.1% 9.2% 10.1% 10.0% 10.1% 9.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.2% 6.1% 3.3% 1.5%
Kenneth Buck 5.9% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 10.7% 9.7% 7.8%
Jackson McGeough 3.7% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 8.7% 9.8% 12.0% 13.5% 14.3%
Kaitlyn Liebel 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 9.0% 8.3% 9.5% 9.4% 8.6% 6.8% 5.2% 3.1%
Hilton Kamps 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 3.2% 2.2%
James Ozaki 3.6% 4.9% 4.0% 6.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.6% 8.6% 8.2% 10.1% 11.1% 12.4% 11.8%
Charlie Eckert 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 5.6% 5.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 9.6% 10.2% 13.8% 16.1%
Lily Schwartz 4.3% 4.8% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.4% 9.3% 12.0% 11.1% 12.8%
Zechariah Frantz 3.0% 3.3% 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 5.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.3% 16.4% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.