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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.41+5.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+1.62vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+3.55vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.09+4.60vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+2.17vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.52+3.35vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.12-2.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.20-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.68-3.97vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-2.55vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.19-4.31vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Rollins College0.418.3%1st Place
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3.62Jacksonville University1.5822.7%1st Place
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6.55Jacksonville University0.487.2%1st Place
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8.6Rollins College0.093.7%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida0.506.7%1st Place
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9.35Embry-Riddle University-0.522.9%1st Place
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4.71North Carolina State University1.1214.3%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.113.8%1st Place
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8.82University of Central Florida-0.203.6%1st Place
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6.03University of Miami0.688.2%1st Place
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8.45Eckerd College-0.173.5%1st Place
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7.69The Citadel0.195.1%1st Place
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5.59Florida Institute of Technology0.739.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Kamps | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Cole Schweda | 22.7% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% |
| Luke Justin | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 24.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Ozaki | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.9% |
| Josh Becher | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.