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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Miami2.28+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15-0.26vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.20+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Florida0.96+3.09vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.14-1.03vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.15+4.25vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.35+3.64vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-1.55vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.07+1.06vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.83-2.33vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.45-2.31vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology1.57-6.39vs Predicted
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14Clemson University2.16-8.98vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-0.19-3.63vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.62-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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2.74University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
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4.65Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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4.97Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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11.25Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.64North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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11.06Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.67Rollins College0.830.0%1st Place
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9.69Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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6.61Georgia Institute of Technology1.570.1%1st Place
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5.02Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Georgia-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.32University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Jassin | 13.3% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 32.2% | 23.9% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Seth Barrows | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Horton | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| Brion Capo | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| Cole Barney | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 10.6% |
| Jason Limbach | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Robert Dye | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| AROLDO DE RIENZO | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Drew Lisicki | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Hines | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.