Race 4A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Takata 25.6% 24.3% 14.2% 13.4% 9.2% 6.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Billy Hines 10.3% 8.3% 13.7% 12.7% 13.9% 13.4% 10.8% 9.2% 6.4% 1.3%
Michael Reney 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 10.5% 11.5% 16.3% 14.1% 11.4% 7.3% 2.3%
Christopher Poole 14.4% 16.4% 17.5% 14.6% 13.5% 9.7% 7.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Sean Andrew 13.0% 12.1% 13.7% 12.3% 14.8% 12.4% 10.6% 7.2% 3.2% 0.7%
Stephanie Dowling 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 6.4% 11.3% 13.8% 23.9% 26.0%
Sam Wyer 3.4% 3.3% 4.6% 6.4% 7.1% 9.9% 14.5% 19.3% 18.1% 13.4%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 8.6% 7.6% 10.6% 12.5% 18.1% 17.4% 10.7%
Conor Lodge 16.5% 17.5% 15.0% 14.0% 13.9% 9.8% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 7.6% 11.3% 19.3% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.