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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.80+1.12vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.20+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.33+0.23vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.32-1.57vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.85-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Purdue University0.8036.0%1st Place
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2.66Northwestern University0.2021.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Minnesota-0.3312.5%1st Place
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2.43Marquette University0.3227.5%1st Place
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4.56Northwestern University-1.852.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Childers | 36.0% | 30.3% | 21.1% | 11.1% | 1.6% |
| Charles Crowell | 21.2% | 23.7% | 27.8% | 22.4% | 4.9% |
| Hayden Johansen | 12.5% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 38.0% | 13.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 27.5% | 26.2% | 25.4% | 17.5% | 3.4% |
| Sean Bascoe | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.