Race 5A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Usher 13.0% 13.2% 15.5% 12.6% 10.3% 9.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.7% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5%
Hilton Kamps 8.0% 9.8% 8.6% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 9.7% 9.7% 7.8% 6.2% 5.2% 3.6% 2.1%
Josh Becher 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.3% 9.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.2% 6.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.9%
Lily Schwartz 3.5% 5.0% 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.6% 8.6% 8.1% 10.5% 11.9% 12.4% 12.1%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 8.3% 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 8.0% 6.8% 5.5% 2.8%
Cole Schweda 23.1% 19.1% 14.7% 13.0% 8.7% 8.1% 5.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 12.0% 9.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1%
Kenneth Buck 5.5% 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 8.2% 6.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 11.7% 9.3% 8.0%
Zechariah Frantz 2.4% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 5.7% 9.2% 8.5% 10.8% 14.2% 24.9%
Charlie Eckert 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 11.5% 11.1% 13.6% 14.6%
Luke Justin 6.6% 6.1% 5.9% 8.8% 8.0% 8.3% 7.9% 9.2% 9.3% 9.8% 8.2% 6.9% 5.0%
Jackson McGeough 3.4% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 6.0% 6.0% 6.5% 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.9% 13.2% 14.9%
James Ozaki 4.3% 4.1% 5.5% 4.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 9.0% 9.7% 11.2% 13.8% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.