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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.28+3.60vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.20+2.66vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Florida0.96+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+1.43vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.16-2.10vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.45+1.52vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.57-2.54vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.07+1.01vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.15+0.29vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.14-7.01vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-0.19-1.48vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.35-3.13vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.83-7.45vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.62-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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4.66Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
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8.19University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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7.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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4.9Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.52Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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6.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.570.1%1st Place
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11.01Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.29Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Georgia-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.87North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.55Rollins College0.830.0%1st Place
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12.27University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Jassin | 13.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 10.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 31.7% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Cole Barney | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Lisicki | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Dye | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| AROLDO DE RIENZO | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% |
| David Horton | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| Seth Barrows | 10.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Hines | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| Brion Capo | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 21.5% |
| Jason Limbach | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.