Race 6A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 21.6% 18.3% 15.4% 12.7% 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 4.6% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 7.7% 9.3% 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.3% 9.7% 7.4% 8.2% 7.5% 5.8% 4.2% 1.8%
Luke Justin 5.7% 5.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 7.3% 5.0%
Zechariah Frantz 2.7% 3.0% 2.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 4.3% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 12.2% 13.7% 25.4%
Benjamin Usher 14.2% 13.4% 13.0% 11.2% 10.2% 9.1% 9.0% 6.8% 5.5% 4.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1%
James Ozaki 4.0% 4.7% 4.8% 4.7% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 9.0% 8.1% 11.1% 10.3% 13.2% 12.5%
Kaitlyn Liebel 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 7.4% 5.0% 3.5%
Kenneth Buck 5.1% 6.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 8.4% 9.9% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 6.6%
Josh Becher 8.5% 9.8% 9.2% 9.6% 11.2% 11.6% 7.9% 7.8% 8.3% 6.0% 4.5% 4.0% 1.7%
Brendan Smucker 11.2% 10.1% 10.7% 11.1% 9.3% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 6.8% 6.9% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9%
Charlie Eckert 3.7% 3.5% 4.7% 5.0% 5.8% 5.5% 7.6% 6.6% 7.1% 9.0% 11.4% 14.3% 16.0%
Lily Schwartz 4.8% 4.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 11.2% 11.8% 12.2%
Jackson McGeough 4.0% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 6.0% 6.0% 7.2% 7.5% 9.4% 8.5% 11.5% 11.3% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.