← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
6.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Georgia-0.19+9.44vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.35+7.73vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University-0.15+6.34vs Predicted
-
5Duke University-0.07+5.30vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.83+1.96vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.62+4.55vs Predicted
-
8Auburn University0.45+0.66vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida0.96-1.56vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University2.16-5.36vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-4.05vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.14-7.28vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.15-10.39vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.20-9.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami2.28-10.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.44University of Georgia-0.190.0%1st Place
-
10.73North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
10.34Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
10.3Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
-
7.96Rollins College0.830.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.66Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
-
4.64Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
-
4.72Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
-
2.61University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
-
4.46Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Hines | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| Brion Capo | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| David Horton | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.8% |
| Jason Limbach | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 31.7% |
| Robert Dye | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Chris Gardiner | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Drew Lisicki | 11.3% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Seth Barrows | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 32.4% | 25.5% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 14.3% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.