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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+7.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+4.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.97vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+0.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.25-0.52vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+3.18vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.34+3.53vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-2.56vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.03-0.46vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24-2.40vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56-4.28vs Predicted
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12University of Florida3.41-4.87vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.00-0.21vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.24-1.58vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.56-1.45vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-1.28-0.43vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.80-12.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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6.67Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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4.48College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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9.18Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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10.53Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.6Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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6.72Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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13.79Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.42Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.55Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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16.57North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 17.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Million | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 16.9% | 28.7% | 24.7% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 2.4% |
| Lily Everson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 38.2% | 11.3% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 10.3% | 81.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.