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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+5.47vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.25+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.86+5.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Florida3.41+0.92vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-1.37vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.24+5.24vs Predicted
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9Clemson University2.34+1.31vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-3.94vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-2.02vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.03-3.52vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.24-5.29vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.19-9.21vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.56-0.35vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-9.20vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.00-3.13vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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4.48College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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8.91University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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5.63Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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13.24Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.31Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.98Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.71Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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4.79Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.65Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.8Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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13.87Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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16.61North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 20.2% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 2.9% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Everson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 43.5% | 10.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Million | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 26.8% | 24.9% | 5.4% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.