Race 8A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brendan Smucker 11.2% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 10.5% 9.2% 8.5% 8.7% 7.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.8% 0.9%
Kenneth Buck 4.2% 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 10.1% 10.2% 9.8% 8.1%
Cole Schweda 21.0% 20.2% 14.2% 12.2% 9.8% 7.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 5.8% 5.4% 6.5% 6.2% 6.9% 8.9% 9.8% 11.8% 14.0% 12.0%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 7.5% 9.2% 9.2% 10.1% 9.2% 9.3% 7.2% 8.4% 5.0% 2.2%
James Ozaki 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 8.4% 8.1% 10.6% 10.1% 13.1% 11.8%
Lily Schwartz 3.5% 5.0% 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 9.7% 12.2% 12.3%
Charlie Eckert 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 7.3% 10.2% 11.2% 13.1% 17.4%
Hilton Kamps 9.1% 8.4% 10.3% 11.1% 10.7% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 7.1% 6.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.3%
Josh Becher 9.9% 8.6% 9.2% 8.3% 8.6% 10.7% 9.6% 8.3% 8.4% 7.1% 5.5% 4.1% 1.8%
Benjamin Usher 13.6% 13.4% 13.6% 13.0% 10.1% 8.8% 8.6% 6.7% 5.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Zechariah Frantz 2.5% 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 6.6% 8.8% 11.7% 15.3% 27.6%
Luke Justin 6.9% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 8.5% 7.5% 8.8% 8.9% 9.7% 8.5% 9.0% 5.9% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.