Race 9A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 20.6% 18.9% 15.2% 13.2% 10.4% 8.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 8.9% 9.7% 8.8% 10.8% 10.1% 10.1% 9.2% 7.4% 8.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5%
Charlie Eckert 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.7% 8.9% 9.6% 10.8% 12.4% 15.7%
Josh Becher 8.2% 9.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.4% 8.6% 8.5% 8.0% 6.7% 5.4% 4.3% 1.8%
Luke Justin 5.9% 6.5% 8.5% 6.7% 7.4% 8.0% 8.3% 9.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 7.6% 4.7%
Brendan Smucker 11.8% 9.9% 10.5% 10.1% 10.4% 10.1% 10.4% 6.8% 6.5% 5.8% 3.6% 3.0% 1.1%
James Ozaki 3.2% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 5.7% 5.8% 7.1% 8.2% 8.1% 9.8% 10.8% 14.4% 13.2%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.0% 7.2% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 9.8% 10.5% 9.3% 8.3% 8.8% 6.8% 3.9% 3.5%
Benjamin Usher 15.0% 13.0% 12.2% 11.6% 10.5% 9.6% 8.7% 6.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5%
Jackson McGeough 4.4% 3.7% 4.5% 3.8% 5.9% 6.0% 5.6% 7.9% 9.1% 9.6% 12.8% 13.0% 13.9%
Zechariah Frantz 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 4.4% 6.3% 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 10.5% 14.2% 24.1%
Lily Schwartz 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 11.3% 12.4% 12.4%
Kenneth Buck 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.0% 6.3% 7.9% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.0% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.