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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+5.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.25+2.46vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.34+7.50vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24+2.77vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.24+7.19vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-1.34vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-2.16vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.86-0.29vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56-3.22vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Florida3.41-4.71vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.56+1.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.75vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.00-1.14vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.03-7.72vs Predicted
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17Stanford University4.19-12.29vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.46College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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10.5Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.77Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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13.19Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.91Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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14.61Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.86Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.71Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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16.61North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 17.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 18.3% | 3.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Everson | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 20.9% | 40.9% | 8.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Million | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 26.0% | 4.7% |
| Collin Leon | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.