← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Eckerd College3.24+5.48vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.92+2.40vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.03+4.34vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.80+0.92vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.90vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston4.25-2.33vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.56-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University4.19-4.34vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.51-3.01vs Predicted
-
11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-2.07vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University1.24+1.31vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University2.34-2.50vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida3.41-6.80vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan2.86-6.01vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University0.56-1.45vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.00-3.09vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.48Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.4Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.34Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.92Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
4.67College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
-
6.63Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
-
4.66Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
-
6.99Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.93Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
-
13.31Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
-
10.5Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.2University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
-
8.99University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
14.55Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.91Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
-
16.63North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 20.4% | 3.4% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Everson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 39.8% | 9.4% |
| Henry Million | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 16.8% | 27.8% | 24.6% | 5.0% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.