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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+3.92vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.09+6.55vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.68+3.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+2.54vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.58-1.29vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.20+1.60vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19-0.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11-0.60vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.59vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-5.44vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.50-4.80vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92North Carolina State University1.1213.1%1st Place
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8.55Rollins College0.094.2%1st Place
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6.05University of Miami0.688.5%1st Place
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6.54Jacksonville University0.487.5%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University1.5820.4%1st Place
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5.91Rollins College0.419.8%1st Place
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8.6University of Central Florida-0.203.8%1st Place
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7.71The Citadel0.195.0%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.114.5%1st Place
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9.41Embry-Riddle University-0.522.9%1st Place
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5.56Florida Institute of Technology0.7311.1%1st Place
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7.2University of South Florida0.505.6%1st Place
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8.44Eckerd College-0.173.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 14.6% |
| Josh Becher | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.4% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| James Ozaki | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 24.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Luke Justin | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.