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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+2.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11+5.32vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.58-0.28vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+3.43vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.68+0.05vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-0.54vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.50-1.83vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-4.16vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-3.12vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.09-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Florida Institute of Technology0.7310.8%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University1.1214.3%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.114.2%1st Place
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3.72Jacksonville University1.5820.5%1st Place
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8.43Eckerd College-0.174.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Miami0.687.8%1st Place
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6.46Jacksonville University0.487.8%1st Place
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7.8The Citadel0.195.1%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida0.505.7%1st Place
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5.84Rollins College0.419.6%1st Place
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9.41Embry-Riddle University-0.522.5%1st Place
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8.88University of Central Florida-0.203.2%1st Place
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8.53Rollins College0.094.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| James Ozaki | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.5% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
| Josh Becher | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Luke Justin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 24.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.