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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+5.33vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+6.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.25+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.49+5.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+1.11vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.34+4.43vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-1.46vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.24+4.95vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.92-4.73vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.03-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Florida3.41-5.18vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.24-5.64vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.00-0.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.14vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.04-8.03vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-1.28-0.43vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.56-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.59Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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4.22College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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9.78University of Michigan2.490.0%1st Place
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6.11Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.43Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.95Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.27Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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7.36Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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13.68Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.97Stanford University3.040.1%1st Place
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16.57North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
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14.6Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cyr | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 2.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Million | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 26.3% | 26.5% | 4.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 10.6% | 81.8% |
| Lily Everson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 19.4% | 38.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.