Race 12A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Ozaki 3.0% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.8% 5.5% 6.7% 8.8% 8.9% 9.0% 11.8% 13.1% 12.0%
Cole Schweda 21.8% 17.2% 16.1% 11.8% 10.8% 8.0% 5.7% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Luke Justin 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.6% 6.2% 9.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.6% 10.3% 9.9% 7.1% 5.0%
Josh Becher 9.8% 8.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 9.1% 8.6% 8.1% 7.6% 5.3% 4.0% 1.8%
Hilton Kamps 9.5% 10.0% 8.2% 9.8% 10.5% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.9% 1.6%
Benjamin Usher 15.3% 13.0% 13.0% 11.8% 11.2% 10.2% 9.2% 5.4% 3.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Brendan Smucker 10.2% 10.1% 10.8% 9.7% 10.5% 8.8% 9.2% 8.1% 7.2% 6.5% 4.5% 2.6% 1.7%
Zechariah Frantz 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 8.3% 11.8% 13.4% 26.2%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.6% 8.4% 7.2% 9.3% 8.1% 10.3% 7.8% 8.9% 9.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.2% 2.6%
Jackson McGeough 3.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 9.0% 10.5% 9.8% 13.5% 13.6%
Lily Schwartz 4.0% 4.9% 4.6% 4.5% 5.6% 5.7% 6.4% 8.5% 8.9% 9.9% 11.2% 13.5% 12.2%
Charlie Eckert 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.6% 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 11.5% 12.7% 15.4%
Kenneth Buck 4.3% 6.0% 4.6% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.1% 9.7% 10.1% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.