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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+7.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+3.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.04+4.98vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.25+0.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+1.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.41-0.24vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51-1.73vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.24-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.49-0.27vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.03-2.89vs Predicted
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12Clemson University2.34-1.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.18vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.56-0.44vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.00-2.35vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-3.76vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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5.42Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University3.040.1%1st Place
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4.3College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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6.07Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.3Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.49Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Michigan2.490.0%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.21Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.56Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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13.65Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.24Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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16.6North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Atwood | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ramming | 17.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Cyr | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Collin Leon | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Everson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 20.8% | 39.8% | 10.5% |
| Henry Million | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 26.1% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Celone | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.