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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.06+4.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida-0.60+5.06vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.36+1.80vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.45-1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.36+1.51vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.01-0.71vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.05-1.44vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.13-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.33+2.07vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-1.93+0.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-3.92vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-1.52-2.59vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Rollins College-0.067.2%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida-0.605.1%1st Place
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4.8Jacksonville University0.3610.5%1st Place
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2.43Jacksonville University1.4537.6%1st Place
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6.51University of Miami-0.365.5%1st Place
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5.29Florida Institute of Technology0.019.4%1st Place
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5.56North Carolina State University-0.058.1%1st Place
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5.83Rollins College-0.137.4%1st Place
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11.07University of Central Florida-2.330.9%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College-1.931.0%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.0%1st Place
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9.41The Citadel-1.522.1%1st Place
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9.97Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KA Hamner | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| catherine brennan | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Ella Bilow | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 37.6% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scott | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 42.8% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 23.5% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 11.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.