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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.25+3.40vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+2.63vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.24+10.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+1.93vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+3.87vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.24+1.86vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-2.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.16vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-3.06vs Predicted
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11University of Florida3.41-3.99vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.56-5.26vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.03-4.67vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.86-4.97vs Predicted
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15Clemson University2.34-4.34vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.56-1.49vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.00-3.10vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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4.63Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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13.24Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.87Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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7.86Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.66Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.51Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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13.9Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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16.63North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ramming | 19.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 15.2% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 19.5% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lily Everson | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 39.9% | 9.5% |
| Henry Million | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 27.4% | 25.0% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.