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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.40vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.36+2.77vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.36+2.37vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.60+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-2.33+4.17vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.01-2.54vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-1.93+1.34vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.05-4.50vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-1.52-1.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-4.93vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Jacksonville University1.4537.5%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University0.3610.1%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College-0.067.9%1st Place
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6.37University of Miami-0.365.2%1st Place
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5.81Rollins College-0.137.8%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida-0.604.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Central Florida-2.330.5%1st Place
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5.46Florida Institute of Technology0.019.6%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College-1.930.9%1st Place
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5.5North Carolina State University-0.058.1%1st Place
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9.38The Citadel-1.521.5%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.3%1st Place
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10.0Embry-Riddle University-1.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 37.5% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 10.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Julia Scott | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| catherine brennan | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 41.6% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 23.7% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.