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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy2.81+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.51+2.52vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.34+1.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+1.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.25-1.98vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.96+1.58vs Predicted
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7Williams College1.47-0.24vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-4.21vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.55-1.65vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.36-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Maine Maritime Academy2.810.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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4.95Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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3.02Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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7.58Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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6.76Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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8.35Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.9Middlebury College1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Poole | 18.5% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Sean Andrew | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Billy Hines | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Michael Reney | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Alex Takata | 26.0% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 25.7% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 11.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 43.5% |
| Sam Wyer | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.