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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+3.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.25+2.48vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+2.52vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.03+4.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+1.47vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.34+4.70vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Florida3.41-2.10vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24-2.18vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.86-2.22vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-5.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.00vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-4.84vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.00-1.12vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.24-2.77vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.56-2.34vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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4.48College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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5.52Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.7Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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7.82Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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13.88Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.23Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.66Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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16.61North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Post | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Million | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 25.4% | 28.8% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 3.0% |
| Lily Everson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 38.4% | 10.7% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.