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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.49vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.06+3.76vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.05+2.55vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.01+1.48vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-1.52+4.34vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.36+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.60+0.18vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.36-3.37vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-1.93+1.22vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.13-4.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-3.83vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.33-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Jacksonville University1.4535.5%1st Place
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5.76Rollins College-0.066.9%1st Place
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5.55North Carolina State University-0.058.7%1st Place
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5.48Florida Institute of Technology0.017.6%1st Place
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9.34The Citadel-1.521.8%1st Place
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6.35University of Miami-0.366.2%1st Place
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7.18University of South Florida-0.604.3%1st Place
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4.63Jacksonville University0.3612.6%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College-1.931.4%1st Place
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5.87Rollins College-0.138.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.8%1st Place
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10.0Embry-Riddle University-1.831.6%1st Place
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10.97University of Central Florida-2.330.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 35.5% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| catherine brennan | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Ella Bilow | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| Julia Scott | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.