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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.36+3.71vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.36+3.22vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.60+2.21vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.01-0.58vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-1.93+3.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-0.95vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13-3.12vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.05-4.50vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-1.52-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.33-0.93vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Jacksonville University0.3611.0%1st Place
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2.46Jacksonville University1.4536.6%1st Place
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6.22University of Miami-0.366.5%1st Place
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5.71Rollins College-0.068.5%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida-0.604.2%1st Place
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5.42Florida Institute of Technology0.018.2%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College-1.930.9%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.3%1st Place
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5.88Rollins College-0.137.4%1st Place
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5.5North Carolina State University-0.058.6%1st Place
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9.46The Citadel-1.521.8%1st Place
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11.07University of Central Florida-2.330.8%1st Place
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10.03Embry-Riddle University-1.831.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Bilow | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 36.6% | 25.1% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| KA Hamner | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| catherine brennan | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 23.4% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Julia Scott | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 11.8% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 40.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.