← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University2.34+9.22vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.03+6.26vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University4.19+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.80+1.88vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College3.24+1.57vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan2.86+2.10vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston4.25-3.45vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.56-2.45vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.78vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.51-4.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Florida3.41-4.79vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University3.92-7.52vs Predicted
-
14Villanova University1.24-0.67vs Predicted
-
15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-5.90vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.00-2.25vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University0.56-2.31vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University-1.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.22Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.26Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
-
4.79Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
5.88Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.57Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.1University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
4.55College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
-
6.55Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
-
9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.68Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.21University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
-
5.48Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
13.33Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
-
13.75Christopher Newport University1.000.0%1st Place
-
14.69Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
-
16.61North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Cabiness | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Collin Leon | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 20.3% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Million | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 24.0% | 27.7% | 4.4% |
| Lily Everson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 40.8% | 9.3% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.