← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida Institute of Technology0.01+4.36vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College-0.06+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College-1.93+7.24vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.36+0.74vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.45-2.54vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida-0.60+1.03vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.15vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.05-2.35vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College-0.13-3.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Central Florida-2.33+1.06vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel-1.52-1.63vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami-0.36-5.72vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36Florida Institute of Technology0.018.9%1st Place
-
5.68Rollins College-0.067.6%1st Place
-
10.24Eckerd College-1.931.5%1st Place
-
4.74Jacksonville University0.3610.8%1st Place
-
2.46Jacksonville University1.4535.9%1st Place
-
7.03University of South Florida-0.605.0%1st Place
-
7.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.2%1st Place
-
5.65North Carolina State University-0.057.9%1st Place
-
5.91Rollins College-0.137.9%1st Place
-
11.06University of Central Florida-2.330.9%1st Place
-
9.37The Citadel-1.521.6%1st Place
-
6.28University of Miami-0.366.9%1st Place
-
10.07Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 23.9% |
| Ella Bilow | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 35.9% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 22.2% | 38.9% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 11.6% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.