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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.45vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.06+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.60+4.12vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.01+1.49vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.36-0.19vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.05-0.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.14vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-1.93+2.29vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.33+2.08vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-1.52-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.36-4.65vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-1.91vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.13-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Jacksonville University1.4537.1%1st Place
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5.64Rollins College-0.067.9%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida-0.604.5%1st Place
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5.49Florida Institute of Technology0.018.5%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University0.3611.6%1st Place
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5.5North Carolina State University-0.057.8%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.2%1st Place
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10.29Eckerd College-1.931.2%1st Place
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11.08University of Central Florida-2.330.4%1st Place
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9.27The Citadel-1.522.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Miami-0.365.8%1st Place
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10.09Embry-Riddle University-1.831.2%1st Place
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5.78Rollins College-0.137.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 37.1% | 24.6% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| catherine brennan | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ella Bilow | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 24.1% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 22.2% | 39.6% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 10.6% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 20.6% |
| Julia Scott | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.