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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+2.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02+4.39vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.28+4.71vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.53vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-0.62vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.78+0.13vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.15+4.35vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.11-5.82vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.59+1.02vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-0.15+2.74vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.80-8.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.19vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-3.43vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.42-7.58vs Predicted
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18Clemson University1.14-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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9.62Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.13Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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13.35Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.18College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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12.02Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.74Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.19Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.57North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.420.0%1st Place
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13.29Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 26.5% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Curry | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 12.7% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 16.0% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 4.7% |
| David Horton | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 61.4% |
| Hans Henken | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| David Rogers | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 6.7% |
| Mark Miedama | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Austin Nettles | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 22.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.