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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+3.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11+2.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+3.64vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.15+9.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.86vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+1.20vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-1.76vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.59+2.15vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-3.69vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-8.62vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.14+0.24vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-0.15+1.67vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-5.26vs Predicted
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16University of Florida2.28-6.19vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.42-7.56vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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4.16College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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13.23Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.28Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.2Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.15Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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3.38Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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13.24Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
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15.67Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.74Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University2.420.0%1st Place
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12.66North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 16.1% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 12.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 25.0% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Nettles | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 10.8% |
| David Horton | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 62.9% |
| Collin Weston | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jasper Curry | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mark Miedama | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| David Rogers | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.