← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.80+4.02vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.11+2.17vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.28+3.59vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.71vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.35+0.27vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.59+5.14vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.78+0.24vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+0.43vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.55-6.60vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan3.02-3.67vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University1.14+1.21vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.42-3.60vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University3.36-7.56vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.15-1.68vs Predicted
-
16University of Florida2.28-6.09vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University-0.15-1.21vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University1.38-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.02Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
4.17College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
-
6.59Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.27Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
12.14Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.24Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
9.43Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
-
3.4Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
7.33University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
13.21Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
-
9.4Old Dominion University2.420.0%1st Place
-
6.44Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
13.32Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
-
15.79Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.63North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 12.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 4.7% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 23.2% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| Austin Nettles | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 10.6% |
| Mark Miedama | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 10.9% |
| Jasper Curry | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| David Horton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 62.2% |
| David Rogers | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.