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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.49vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.13+3.93vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.36+1.69vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.36+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.60+1.00vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.05-1.33vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.97vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.01-3.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.84vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-1.52-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.33-1.00vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-1.93-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Jacksonville University1.4535.9%1st Place
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5.93Rollins College-0.137.1%1st Place
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4.69Jacksonville University0.3612.2%1st Place
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5.77Rollins College-0.067.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Miami-0.367.1%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida-0.604.3%1st Place
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5.67North Carolina State University-0.058.0%1st Place
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9.97Embry-Riddle University-1.831.5%1st Place
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5.4Florida Institute of Technology0.018.8%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.0%1st Place
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9.4The Citadel-1.521.8%1st Place
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11.0University of Central Florida-2.330.7%1st Place
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10.18Eckerd College-1.931.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 35.9% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ella Bilow | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Hibben | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| catherine brennan | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 38.3% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.