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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami-0.36+5.44vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.36+2.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.45-0.63vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+1.87vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.01+0.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.05-0.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.06vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.06-2.34vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.09vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-1.52-0.56vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-1.93-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.60-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.33-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44University of Miami-0.366.4%1st Place
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4.74Jacksonville University0.3610.7%1st Place
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2.37Jacksonville University1.4539.5%1st Place
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5.87Rollins College-0.136.2%1st Place
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5.42Florida Institute of Technology0.018.0%1st Place
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5.45North Carolina State University-0.058.8%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.2%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College-0.067.9%1st Place
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10.09Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
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9.44The Citadel-1.521.3%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College-1.931.4%1st Place
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7.07University of South Florida-0.603.6%1st Place
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11.13University of Central Florida-2.331.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hibben | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ella Bilow | 10.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 39.5% | 24.8% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| KA Hamner | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 23.0% |
| catherine brennan | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.