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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+3.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+3.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80+1.23vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.78+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan3.02+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.28+3.04vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36-2.61vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.14+3.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.11vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.59+0.20vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-5.99vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-4.14vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-11.56vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-3.36vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.15-3.62vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University-0.15-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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6.45Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.23Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.49Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.2Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.01Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.86Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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3.44Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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12.64North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.38Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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15.85Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hans Henken | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Curry | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Nettles | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 11.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 4.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 22.7% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 11.6% |
| David Horton | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.