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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+4.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02+4.56vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+2.84vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-1.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+1.18vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.28+1.86vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-2.33vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-3.53vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-1.17vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.14+0.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.03vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.59-2.78vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.15-2.69vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-0.15-1.16vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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4.27College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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6.84Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.32Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.83Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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13.36Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.22Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.31Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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15.84Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.81North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 15.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 25.3% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Curry | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Collin Weston | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Austin Nettles | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 22.1% | 11.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Domenic Re | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 11.0% |
| David Horton | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 62.4% |
| David Rogers | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.