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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.36+3.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+0.42vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.13+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.36+2.40vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+0.59vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.06-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.60+0.14vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.01-2.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.93vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-1.52-0.72vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-1.93-0.68vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.33-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Jacksonville University0.3612.6%1st Place
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2.42Jacksonville University1.4535.4%1st Place
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5.71Rollins College-0.137.3%1st Place
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6.4University of Miami-0.365.3%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University-0.058.1%1st Place
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5.73Rollins College-0.067.5%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida-0.603.6%1st Place
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5.44Florida Institute of Technology0.019.8%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.8%1st Place
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9.28The Citadel-1.522.5%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College-1.931.1%1st Place
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10.16Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Central Florida-2.330.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Bilow | 12.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 35.4% | 27.1% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| catherine brennan | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 10.6% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 24.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 22.7% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.