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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.36+2.79vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+2.65vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.60+2.14vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.01-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.36-0.70vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.13-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.33+2.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.81vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.94vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-1.52-2.68vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-1.93-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Jacksonville University1.4536.4%1st Place
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4.79Jacksonville University0.3610.8%1st Place
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5.65Rollins College-0.068.9%1st Place
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5.62North Carolina State University-0.057.3%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida-0.604.6%1st Place
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5.37Florida Institute of Technology0.018.6%1st Place
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6.3University of Miami-0.366.5%1st Place
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5.85Rollins College-0.136.8%1st Place
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11.03University of Central Florida-2.330.6%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.4%1st Place
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10.06Embry-Riddle University-1.831.5%1st Place
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9.32The Citadel-1.522.2%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College-1.931.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 36.4% | 25.1% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| catherine brennan | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Julia Scott | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 40.8% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 20.4% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 12.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.