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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.44vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.13+3.87vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+2.66vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+1.46vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.36-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.60+1.23vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.01-1.57vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-1.52+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.36-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.33+1.11vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-1.93-0.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-4.91vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Jacksonville University1.4537.5%1st Place
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5.87Rollins College-0.137.5%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College-0.067.2%1st Place
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5.46North Carolina State University-0.057.2%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University0.3611.8%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida-0.605.0%1st Place
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5.43Florida Institute of Technology0.018.3%1st Place
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9.45The Citadel-1.522.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Miami-0.365.6%1st Place
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11.11University of Central Florida-2.330.7%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College-1.931.2%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.5%1st Place
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10.01Embry-Riddle University-1.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 37.5% | 23.8% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| KA Hamner | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ella Bilow | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| catherine brennan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 12.7% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 41.2% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 22.8% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.