Race 6A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Conor Lodge 17.9% 17.6% 13.8% 14.0% 12.2% 10.5% 7.5% 3.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Michael Reney 8.8% 8.4% 10.3% 10.5% 12.6% 13.7% 12.6% 13.1% 7.3% 2.7%
Alex Takata 24.6% 19.9% 18.9% 13.6% 9.8% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Billy Hines 8.9% 11.4% 11.8% 11.7% 14.7% 13.8% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 1.4%
Stephanie Dowling 2.4% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 4.3% 7.6% 9.4% 13.7% 24.0% 25.2%
Christopher Poole 18.2% 15.4% 13.5% 15.1% 12.8% 11.4% 7.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Sean Andrew 10.4% 13.4% 12.7% 14.8% 13.5% 11.7% 12.2% 6.8% 3.3% 1.2%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.3% 3.5% 5.6% 7.9% 11.4% 19.4% 43.0%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.6% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 8.6% 10.2% 14.8% 17.2% 17.7% 11.3%
Sam Wyer 3.0% 3.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.0% 8.8% 12.0% 19.1% 19.0% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.