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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+2.92vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+5.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+2.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-1.81vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.11-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan3.02+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.28+0.58vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-3.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.47vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.15+1.10vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.42-3.77vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.71vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-0.15+0.74vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.59-4.13vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.14-3.77vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.92Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.09Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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6.59Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.19Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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4.25College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.1Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.29Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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15.74Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.87Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.23Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.53North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 26.2% | 22.8% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Curry | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 10.4% |
| Mark Miedama | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| David Horton | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 62.0% |
| Domenic Re | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 4.2% |
| Austin Nettles | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% |
| David Rogers | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.