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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+3.11vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+9.14vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.15+9.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.54vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.80-0.06vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.78+2.26vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-0.74vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36-2.86vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-3.31vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.28-2.21vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-9.73vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.14-0.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.42-5.60vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-0.15-0.31vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.59-5.09vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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11.14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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12.98Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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4.94Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.26Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.14Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Florida2.280.0%1st Place
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3.27Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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13.14Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University2.420.0%1st Place
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15.69Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.91Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.51North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 17.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 9.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Hans Henken | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Curry | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 24.8% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Nettles | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 11.5% |
| Mark Miedama | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| David Horton | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 62.5% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| David Rogers | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.