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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.99vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+2.12vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+2.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-0.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-3.74vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.83-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.08Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.12University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.34Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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3.26Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.12College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 17.5% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 23.6% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.