← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.00vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.27+3.07vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.83+2.10vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.73+1.24vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.22-0.85vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii3.04-1.41vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.29-3.04vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.10-5.72vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington2.10-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
-
5.07Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.1University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.24Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
-
5.15College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
4.96University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
3.28Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
7.65University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 10.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Corey Hall | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 23.9% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.