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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+3.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83+1.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.77vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04-2.42vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27-3.94vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.16College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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6.36Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.06Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 25.2% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Mary Hall | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Corey Hall | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 20.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.