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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+3.82vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+3.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-0.20vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97+0.76vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-4.88vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.10-1.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.04Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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3.12Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Corey Hall | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Mary Hall | 15.9% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 32.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 24.6% | 22.7% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 27.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.