← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.07+2.36vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.54+5.23vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.54+1.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.18-0.77vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-0.08+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-1.07+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Unknown School-0.53+0.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.36-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.19-3.68vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-0.82-1.79vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.62-3.76vs Predicted
-
12University of Oregon-2.06-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36University of Washington1.0721.6%1st Place
-
7.23Western Washington University-0.544.8%1st Place
-
4.42Western Washington University0.5412.3%1st Place
-
3.23University of Washington1.1824.7%1st Place
-
6.1University of Oregon-0.086.9%1st Place
-
8.31Unknown School-1.072.9%1st Place
-
7.24Unknown School-0.534.2%1st Place
-
6.92University of Washington-0.364.2%1st Place
-
5.32Western Washington University0.199.4%1st Place
-
8.21University of Oregon-0.823.3%1st Place
-
7.24University of Washington-0.624.9%1st Place
-
10.41University of Oregon-2.060.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 21.6% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Thomas | 24.7% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Gao | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 12.3% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| ella notdurft | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.