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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.54+6.20vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.18+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+0.35vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.53+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.08+1.02vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.19-0.66vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.07+1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.62-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.06+1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.82-1.71vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.54-6.61vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Western Washington University-0.545.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Washington1.1824.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington1.0722.4%1st Place
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7.29Unknown School-0.533.9%1st Place
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6.02University of Oregon-0.087.0%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University0.198.0%1st Place
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8.61Unknown School-1.072.5%1st Place
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7.25University of Washington-0.624.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Oregon-2.061.4%1st Place
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8.29University of Oregon-0.822.6%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University0.5414.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Washington-0.364.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Sasaki | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Owen Thomas | 24.2% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 22.4% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Gao | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 15.3% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% |
| ella notdurft | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 52.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 11.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.