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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+4.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.97+4.76vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+2.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.18vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27-1.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22-3.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-4.16vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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3.2Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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7.76University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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6.15Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.86Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.84University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 25.6% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hernandez | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 22.9% | 32.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 9.1% |
| Mary Hall | 17.2% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.6% |
| Corey Hall | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.