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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.18+2.17vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.54+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.36+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.82+3.13vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.54+1.21vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.19-1.65vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.53-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.08-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.62-2.74vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.07-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.06-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Washington1.1823.8%1st Place
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4.38Western Washington University0.5413.6%1st Place
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3.41University of Washington1.0722.4%1st Place
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6.76University of Washington-0.364.8%1st Place
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8.13University of Oregon-0.823.3%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University-0.544.5%1st Place
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5.35Western Washington University0.198.6%1st Place
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7.29Unknown School-0.534.6%1st Place
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6.09University of Oregon-0.086.6%1st Place
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7.26University of Washington-0.624.5%1st Place
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8.39Unknown School-1.072.6%1st Place
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10.57University of Oregon-2.060.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Thomas | 23.8% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 22.4% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 10.9% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Teddy Gao | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 12.7% |
| ella notdurft | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.