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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.10vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+1.96vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+2.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.16vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-1.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.10-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.97-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.12Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 27.8% | 21.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 9.1% |
| Mary Hall | 16.7% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 27.8% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.