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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+3.48vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+2.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-1.20vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.10-0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.37vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.06College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.14Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.6University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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4.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.88Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 18.4% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.3% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Corey Hall | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 24.5% | 22.8% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hernandez | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 32.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 28.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.