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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.18+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.37vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+1.50vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.54+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.36+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.82+2.16vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.53+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.08-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.62-1.69vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.19-4.57vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.06-0.63vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.07-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Washington1.1824.4%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington1.0721.8%1st Place
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4.5Western Washington University0.5413.2%1st Place
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7.26Western Washington University-0.544.2%1st Place
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6.71University of Washington-0.365.5%1st Place
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8.16University of Oregon-0.823.0%1st Place
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7.18Unknown School-0.534.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Oregon-0.087.7%1st Place
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7.31University of Washington-0.624.5%1st Place
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5.43Western Washington University0.198.3%1st Place
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10.37University of Oregon-2.060.9%1st Place
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8.55Unknown School-1.072.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Thomas | 24.4% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 21.8% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 11.1% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| ella notdurft | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 53.5% |
| Teddy Gao | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.