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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+3.78vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+4.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04+1.40vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97+1.64vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22-1.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.12Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.2Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 24.5% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Laura Hernandez | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 34.8% |
| Corey Hall | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Mary Hall | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 21.0% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.