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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.62+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+0.68vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+0.58vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.54+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.82+1.65vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.53-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.08-2.20vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.19-3.72vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.06-0.38vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-1.07-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of Washington-0.624.9%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington1.0729.6%1st Place
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3.58Western Washington University0.5418.5%1st Place
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5.77Western Washington University-0.546.3%1st Place
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6.65University of Oregon-0.824.3%1st Place
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5.74Unknown School-0.536.7%1st Place
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4.8University of Oregon-0.0810.7%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University0.1913.4%1st Place
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8.62University of Oregon-2.061.6%1st Place
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6.93Unknown School-1.074.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 29.6% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 18.5% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Allison Sasaki | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 12.1% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| ella notdurft | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 55.4% |
| Teddy Gao | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.